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Statistics & Reports
May 10, 2024

The UK economy rebounds from recession, registering a 0.6% growth in the first quarter.

The UK economy shows signs of recovery as it exits recession, experiencing a growth of 0.6% in the first quarter. This positive growth indicates a turnaround from previous economic downturns, potentially signaling stability and resilience in the face of challenges.

Official figures released on Friday indicate that the UK economy has exited recession, with gross domestic product (GDP) showing a 0.6% increase in the first quarter, surpassing expectations. Economists, surveyed by Reuters, had predicted a 0.4% growth over the previous three months. 

The recession, which began in the latter half of 2023 due to persistent inflation, lacks an official definition but is commonly understood as two consecutive quarters of negative growth. In the January to March period, the production sector expanded by 0.8%, while construction declined by 0.9%. Monthly growth in March stood at 0.4%, following a 0.2% increase in February. 

The services sector, crucial to the UK's economy, recorded growth for the first time since Q1 2023, primarily driven by notable growth in the transport services industry. UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, despite recent electoral setbacks for his Conservative Party, welcomed the news as a sign of economic recovery. 

However, Suren Thiru, economics director at ICAEW, cautioned that while weaker inflation could have positive effects, political uncertainties ahead of the upcoming general elections might dampen spending. Thiru stressed that the UK's emergence from recession does not resolve underlying issues such as stagnant productivity and high economic inactivity. 

The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, in light of persistent inflation indicators, opted to maintain its main interest rate at 5.25%, anticipating inflation to approach 2% in the short term, with a likely increase later in the year as the impact of energy price declines diminishes.

Source: CNN

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