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Expert Views
February 19, 2025

Hotel Industry Growth: Industry Experts Share Their Outlook

Industry experts share insights on hotel industry growth, highlighting key trends, strategic investments, and market projections for 2025. Discover regional developments, economic factors, and challenges shaping the future of hospitality.

The global hotel industry is poised for steady growth in 2025, driven by a combination of strategic investments, evolving consumer preferences, and regional market dynamics. Industry leaders and experts have shared their insights, highlighting key trends and projections that are shaping the future of hospitality.

Strategic Investments and Expansion Plans

InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG), the owner of brands like Holiday Inn and Crowne Plaza, has announced plans to return over $1.1 billion to shareholders in 2025. This decision follows a 3% rise in global revenue per available room (RevPAR), attributed to increased demand in the United States and strong performance in regions such as Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean. However, IHG experienced a 4.8% decline in RevPAR in Greater China. The company also acquired the Ruby hotel brand for €110.5 million, aiming to expand its presence in the urban hotel market. Despite positive financial outcomes, IHG's shares saw a slight decline due to projected higher-than-expected interest expenses for 2025.

In the United States, Wyndham Hotels and Resorts reported a revenue boost, particularly in areas near data center development sites. CEO Geoff Ballotti noted that Wyndham's franchised hotels within a 10-mile radius of key data center projects experienced nearly 5% growth in RevPAR. This surge is attributed to the housing needs of construction workers and skilled laborers involved in these projects. Wyndham's portfolio includes brands like Days Inn, La Quinta, Super 8, Ramada, and Howard Johnson, with a significant focus on the U.S. market.

In India, the hotel industry is experiencing robust growth, with CareEdge Ratings forecasting a 9-11% year-over-year increase in revenue for hotels in FY25. This growth is driven by strong domestic leisure and business travel demand, complemented by increasing foreign tourist arrivals. Average room rates across India are projected to rise, with RevPAR expected to reach an average of ₹4,800-5,000 by the end of FY24. The industry anticipates adding over 50,000 branded rooms over the next 4-5 years, aligning supply with the growing demand.

Market Outlook and Economic Factors

According to the latest forecast by CoStar Group and Tourism Economics, the U.S. hotel industry's RevPAR is expected to grow marginally by 1.8% in 2025. This projection is influenced by economic uncertainties, including a strong U.S. dollar, which incentivizes domestic travelers to explore international destinations while reducing inbound tourism. Additionally, the increasing appeal of short-term rentals continues to moderate demand for traditional hotel stays. Despite these challenges, the luxury segment is expected to see a 2.9% growth in RevPAR, driven by a surge in demand observed in 2024.

PwC's Hospitality Directions report indicates that the U.S. lodging sector is poised for muted growth in 2025, with a projected 1.5% increase in RevPAR. This growth is primarily driven by moderate increases in average daily room rates and stable occupancy levels. Factors such as decelerating consumer spending and GDP growth are expected to suppress demand and occupancy growth. However, favorable shifts in the financing landscape, including rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and moderating inflation levels, are anticipated to spur new construction projects and investments in the sector.

Regional Developments and Challenges

In Europe, hotel development faces challenges due to logistical complications and extended development timelines. Ennismore, the hotel group behind the Hoxton chain, has shifted its growth focus to the Middle East and the Americas, citing these regions as more attractive due to faster development processes and strong market demand. The Middle East, in particular, is expected to account for a significant portion of new growth, driven by substantial investments and booming tourism initiatives.

The British hotel industry experienced a record surge in deal activity in 2024, with transactions worth £6.6 billion, a 182% increase compared to 2023. This surge was driven by acquisitions from private equity firms, with London luxury properties being particularly attractive to investors. Despite this growth, operators are preparing for potential profit pressures due to upcoming increases in wages and employer contributions.

In the Asia-Pacific region, the hotel industry is poised for significant growth, with a projected market size of $800 billion in 2024. This expansion is driven by increased travel in countries like China, Japan, and Southeast Asia, supported by rising disposable incomes and expanding tourism infrastructure. The region is expected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.5%, making it one of the fastest-growing markets globally.

Labor Market and Employment Trends

The hotel industry continues to face labor challenges, with staffing shortages being a significant concern. A December 2024 survey by the AHLA and Gold Partner Hireology revealed that 64.9% of respondents are still dealing with staffing issues. To attract and retain employees, hoteliers are focusing on strategies such as raising wages, offering more flexible work hours, and providing hotel discounts. Despite these challenges, the industry is projected to experience job growth of 12% over the next five years, outpacing the national average of 8%.

Conclusion

The hotel industry in 2025 is navigating a complex landscape marked by strategic investments, regional market shifts, economic factors, and labor challenges. While growth projections vary across different markets, the overall outlook remains cautiously optimistic. Industry leaders emphasize the importance of adaptability and strategic planning to capitalize on emerging opportunities and address potential challenges in the evolving hospitality sector.

For questions or comments write to writers@bostonbrandmedia.com

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